Macro Bias

[ Crypto Briefing ]

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

+20NEUTRAL
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BOTTOM LINE: BTC closed up 0.91% and ETH gained 1.56%, with the broader market showing modest strength but a defensive tone underneath. Bitcoin's RSI at 62.6 indicates buyers are still active, but the ETH/BTC ratio collapsing to 0.0315 reveals that capital is rotating into BTC at the expense of altcoins, a pattern typical of uncertain macro conditions. Watch today carefully; the model sees a slight edge higher, but conviction is low and macro headwinds from a stronger DXY and rising rates remain a real drag.

MARKET BREAKDOWN:

  • Bitcoin: Strong -- RSI at 62.6 shows sustained buying pressure. Historical analogs from similar setups averaged +0.62% one day and +0.79% over three days. Realized vol at 40% is quiet by crypto standards, which typically allows trends to run cleaner.
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